Cyberkrieg in der Ukraine: Wie sich militärische Cyberoperationen im Verlauf des Krieges verändert haben
In der neuesten Folge des Percepticon Podcasts werfen wir einen detaillierten Blick auf die Entwicklung militärischer Cyberoperationen im Ukrainekrieg. Im dritten Kriegsjahr zeigt sich, dass sich die Logik und der Nutzen von Cyberangriffen grundlegend gewandelt haben – von öffentlichkeitswirksamer Disruption hin zu strategischer Unterstützung konventioneller Kriegsführung.
Während zu Beginn des Krieges russische Cyberangriffe vor allem auf öffentlichkeitswirksame Disruption und psychologische Beeinflussung abzielten, hat sich der Fokus mittlerweile auf strategische Unterstützung konventioneller Kriegsführung verlagert. Besonders auffällig ist die zunehmende Integration von Cyberoperationen in klassische militärische Taktiken, etwa durch gezielte Spionage und Informationsbeschaffung zur Zielerfassung für Artillerieangriffe.
Themen sind:
- Entwicklung russischer Cyberstrategien: Von disruptiven Angriffen auf zivile Infrastruktur hin zu gezielten Operationen gegen militärische Systeme.
- Die Rolle der ukrainischen Cyberabwehr: Wie effektive Verteidigungsmaßnahmen die operative Komplexität russischer Angriffe reduziert haben.
- Vergleich mit konventionellen Waffen: Warum Drohnen, Artillerie und Marschflugkörper oft effektiver sind als Cyberangriffe.
- Langfristige Lehren: Welche Implikationen der Ukrainekrieg für zukünftige Konflikte hat und wie sich Cyberoperationen weiterentwickeln könnten.
Cyberangriffe haben sich als weniger zerstörerisch erwiesen, als viele Analysten ursprünglich erwartet hatten. Stattdessen dienen sie primär der Aufklärung, Subversion und psychologischen Einflussnahme. Der Podcast beleuchtet auch die Grenzen von Cyberoperationen und zeigt, warum sie oft nur eine unterstützende Rolle spielen – insbesondere in einem Zermürbungskrieg, bei dem konventionelle Waffen wie Drohnen und Artillerie entscheidend sind.
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Shownotes
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Timecodes
- 01:55 Forschungsstand
- 11:29 Nicht so nützlich, wie Panzer
- 13:10 die Evolution des Ukrainekrieges
- 17:16 War of attrition
- 19:05 Evolution der Cyberkriegsführung
- 20:20 2022: öffentlichkeitswirksame Disruption gegen zivile Ziele
- 24:20 Punishment Angriffe auf das Energienetz
- 26:34 2023: Höheres Tempo, mehr strategische Angriffe
- 28:00 Das Smartphone als primäres Angriffsziel
- 34:00 Abnehmende Qualität der Angriffe
- 37:00 2024 Integration von Cyber und konventionellen Fähigkeiten
- 38:21 290 Angriffe pro Monat, 3000 Cyber Ops pro Jahr
- 41:00 Intelligence tradecraft & pretexting
- 43:00 Anpassungen der russischen Cyberstrategie 2022-2024
- 45:00 Fazit: Cyber ist nur Support
Hinweise
Blog & Podcast über die dunkle Seite der Digitalisierung: Cyber-Sicherheit, Cyber-War, Spionage, Hacker, Sabotage, Subversion und Desinformation. Kommentare und konstruktives Feedback bitte auf percepticon.de oder via Twitter. Dieser Cyber Security Podcast erscheint auf iTunes, Spotify, PocketCast, Stitcher oder via RSS Feed.
Sound & Copyright
- Modem Sound, Creative Commons.
- © Vint Cerf, „Internet shows up in December 1975“, in: IEEE Computer Society, Computing Conversations: Vint Cerf on the History of Packets, December 2012.
- © L0pht Heavy Industries testifying before the United States Senate Committee on Governmental Affairs, Live feed from CSPAN, May 19, 1998.
- © Barack Obama, Cybersecurity and Consumer Protection Summit Address, 13 February 2015, Stanford University, Stanford, CA.
- © Michael Hayden, „We kill people based on meta-data,“ in: The Johns Hopkins Foreign Affairs Symposium Presents: The Price of Privacy: Re-Evaluating the NSA, April 2014.
- © Bruce Schneier, „Complexity is the enemy of security, in IEEE Computer Society, Bruce Schneier: Building Cryptographic Systems, March 2016.
- Beats, Bass & Music created with Apple GarageBand
